Services
News
Research
Education Materials
Protocols
.

Mount Sinai Hospital is a University of Toronto patient care, teaching, and research centre.
Mount Sinai Hospital is a University of Toronto patient care, teaching, and research centre.

Population-based surveillance for influenza requiring ICU admission in Toronto, Canada

Proposal – October 2006


» Objectives:

    i.   to describe the incidence, clinical features and outcomes of laboratory-confirmed influenza
         illness requiring ICU admission in a sample of intensive care units in Toronto
    ii.   to assess the performance characteristics of viral culture, rapid antigen testing, and PCR
         in testing for influenza infection in patients admitted to the ICU with possible influenza
    iii.  to assess the effect of treatment with oseltamivir on length of stay, length of ICU stay,
         and death in cases of LCI requiring ICU admission.

» Background:

            The Toronto Invasive Bacterial Diseases Network (TIBDN) is a collaboration of all hospitals (N=25), microbiology laboratories (N=19), nursing homes (N=85), infection control practitioners, physicians and public health units serving the residents of metropolitan Toronto and Peel Region. The program’s goal is to reduce morbidity and mortality by using surveillance to improve the prevention, diagnosis and treatment of infection (see https://eportal.mountsinai.ca/Microbiology/ for further information).
             TIBDN has performed surveillance for laboratory confirmed influenza requiring hospital admission since January 1, 2005. During this surveillance, it has become clear that testing for influenza is rarely performed. This issue is also evident in the 2004/5 CNISP surveillance of pneumonia requiring ICU admission: of 590 cases identified in the 19 participating hospitals, 22 had a positive test for influenza (the most common single pathogen diagnosed). Strikingly, 17 of these 22 were diagnosed in the only hospital of the19 that was routinely testing for influenza. In other hospitals, fewer than 1% of adult patients admitted to the hospital with pneumonia requiring ICU admission were tested for viral pathogens.
             Despite the relative absence of testing, surveillance for laboratory confirmed influenza requiring hospital admission within TIBDN has identified 570 cases in the last two years; Seventy-one of these cases required ICU admission; seventeen of these 71 (24%) died of their infection: 3/25 (12%) of those treated with oseltamivir, and 14/46 (30%) of those not treated (P=0.14). In multivariable analysis of the entire cohort of hospitalized influenza patients, oseltamivir therapy was associated with a 71% reduction in the risk of death (P=0.05).
             Further information regarding the incidence of influenza in patients with sepsis or respiratory illness admitted to the intensive care unit during the winter season is thus of considerable interest. The situation is, however, complicated by the fact that routine laboratory testing is not available or encouraged (and relatively expensive). In addition, the sensitivity of available rapid antigen tests is no more than 70%, and has never been assessed in seriously ill patients.


» Methods:

    Population:
             The medical (or combined medical/surgical) ICUs of six TIBDN hospitals will be selected to participate in this surveillance, representing community and academic hospitals (3 teaching hospitals. In hospitals with more than one intensive care unit, eligible ICUs will be those that admit patients from the community with acute respiratory illness (ie. surgical ICUs such as cardiovascular, neurosurgical will be excluded).

    Procedures:
             Influenza season will be defined by TIBDN as beginning on the Monday after the first week during which more than 5% of tests submitted to the Ontario public health laboratory for viral testing are positive for influenza. It will be defined as ending after 15 weeks, or when the proportion of tests positive for influenza has been below 5% for two consecutive weeks (whichever is longer).
             During the influenza season, ICU physicians will request nasopharyngeal swabs for influenza testing for all admissions to the ICU who may have influenza: this will include patients with sepsis, pneumonia, exacerbations of chronic lung disease, and any other patients who, in the judgement of the attending physician, may have influenza. This will include patients admitted from the community, and those transferred from other units within the hospital, or other hospitals. Rapid testing, viral culture, and PCR will be performed on all specimens. Every effort will be made to have rapid testing available in <12 hours, and PCR results in less than 24 hrs (PCR on specimens obtained on Friday and Saturday may have a longer turn around time). Positive results will be telephoned to the ICU.
             TIBDN study staff will visit each ICU every 24-72 hours, and record the number of admissions, the number tested for influenza, and the admitting diagnosis of all patients. Staff will also be available pre-season to assist in training staff in how to obtain NP swabs if necessary, will ensure that the appropriate swabs, viral transport media and requisitions are available, and will facilitate specimen transport to the laboratory when needed.
             Any patients who have any positive test for influenza will be enrolled in the study (as per usual TIBDN surveillance, currently on-going. Demographic, medical and outcome data will be collected by chart review, and patient and physician interview.
             At the end of the season, total patient days, and patient days for patients with a positive test for influenza will be recorded.

 

» Analysis:

             The first major analysis is the descriptive analysis of the contribution of influenza to adult intensive care unit morbidity, mortality and occupancy during the influenza season. The second analysis is the analysis of the impact of treatment of influenza with Tamiflu® on mortality due to influenza. Secondary analyses will be conducted to assess risk factors for mortality and ICU length of stay, and to assess the impact of oseltamivir treatment on length of stay.

» Sample Size:

              Based on estimates from the Mount Sinai Hospital, and CNISP surveillance for 2004/5 and 2005/6, we anticipate approximately 300 cases of CAP/nosocomial pneumonia, and an additional 150 cases of infectin/sepsis without evident source. Based on CNISP data, a conservative estimate is that 20% of cases of pneumonia, and 15% of those with undefined sepstis will have positive tests for influenza during the season, for a total estimate of 80-85 influenza cases. For the analysis of oseltamivir impact, these cases will be combined with adult cases admitted to the ICU in 2004/5 and 2006/5 (N=62). The point estimate for the odds ratio of oseltamivir impact on mortality in adult ICU patients is 0.28 (P=0.08 after two years of surveillance). Assuming that the true odds ratio of 0.3, a 15 day mortality of 25% (2004/5 and 2005/6 data) and using a one sided test, with alpha=0.05 and a power of 80%, and that 50% of patients will be treated (currently 38%, but expected to be higher in this surveillance) a total sample size of 160 is needed to detect and label the effect as statistically significant.

» Ethics:

              Ethics approval for surveillance for cases of LCI requiring hospitalization is currently in place at each participating hospital; approval for this additional study will be obtained at each participating hospital prior to study start.

» List of Investigators:

    Principal Investigator:
    Dr. Allison McGeer, (Mount Sinai Hospital)

    Site Investigators:
    Dr. James F. Downey (Toronto East Hospital)
    Dr. Steven Drews (Central Public Health Lab, Ministry of Health and Long Term Care)
    Dr. Sandy Finkelstein (The Scarborough Hospital) 
    Dr. Rob Fowler (Sunnybrook Health Sciences Center)
    Dr. Kevin Katz (North York General Hospital)
    Dr. Steven Lapinsky (Mount Sinai Hospital)
    Dr. Donna McRitchie (North York General Hospital)
    Dr. Janos Pataki (Credit Valley Hospital) 
    Dr. Jeff Powis (Toronto East General Hospital)
    Dr. David Rose (The Scarborough Hospital) 
    Dr. Alicia Sarabia (Credit Valley Hospital)
    Dr. Carmine Simone (Toronto East General Hospital)
    Dr. Andy Simor (Sunnybrook Health Sciences Center
    Dr. Thomas Stewart (Mount Sinai Hospital)
    Dr. Ian Davis (The Scarborough Hospital)

    Study Staff:
    Ms. Karen Green, TIBDN Co-ordinator (416-586-5105)
    Ms. Nilofar Siddiqi, Co-ordinator, ICU Influenza Surveillance (416-586-4800, ext. 4315)
    Ms. Sophia Anceva-Sami, Research Associate, Sunnybrook Site (416-380-5164)
    Ms. Milena Markovski, Research Associate, Scarborough Sites (647-402-5481)
    Ms. Barb Mater, Research Nurse, North York General Site (416-380-5308)
    Ms. Sarah Siddiqi, Research Associate, Credit Valley Site (416-380-5657)
    Ms. Sarilea Walpole, Research Nurse, Toronto East General Site (416-380-5376)         

© Copyright 1999-2007 Department of Microbiology, Mount Sinai Hospital, Toronto, Canada. All rights reserved.